society and politics in a trans-Pacific mirror

Thursday, September 28, 2017

Look Beneath the Surface of "Nambia"

Image result for trump namibia speech
(Kevin Lamarque/Reuters)
















The substance of President Trump’s “Nambia” speech was a step in the right direction.

Trump’s mispronunciation of Namibia was not, but it was also unsurprising. It is no secret that most Americans are terrible at geography (which is, however—ahem—not a uniquely American shortcoming), and I don’t think anyone who likes Donald Trump likes him because of his presumed familiarity with the globe. I am sure his supporters feel indignant that we mean old coastal elites should mock him over a matter as piddling as this. But it is not a piddling matter, we anti-Trump folks instinctively feel, because it symbolizes his willful ignorance and privilege. Despite being a buffoon, he has the privilege of leading the world’s most powerful country and thereby obliging other world leaders to deal with his buffoonery. And the problem for America is that although ignorance, clownishness, meanness, and mendacity may play well with Trump’s fans, they are not a good look for the United States. Other countries see what we are now, and they are repulsed.

Or are they? Africans, apparently, took the speech in stride. As explained on the China in Africa Podcast, the response to the speech on African social media was mostly good-humored. Notably, Namibia’s President Hage Geingob said, “That ‘Nambia’ put Namibia on the map, huh? They have to explain, while they are—think they are teasing the president, they had to explain Namibia: where is it and so on, and so we got good publicity from that. So… and I was also very much impressed meeting the president. We had different expectations, but, uh, to tell you the truth he spent two hours with us at luncheon, and he listened.” The podcast’s Kobus Van Staden pointed out that throughout the continent of Africa, President Trump was largely regarded as a joke already, which may account for the lack of anger.

But the substance of Trump’s speech was a more important reason for the willingness of Namibians and other Africans to overlook his ignorance. The speech talked up increased American trade and investment in a variety of Africans countries, and that is good for Americans as much as Africans. The future of Africa matters for the United States because African economies are growing rapidly—more rapidly than most Westerners are aware. 

As for the specific manner in which Trump expressed America's economic interest in Africa, he again received criticism for saying, “Africa has tremendous business potential. I have so many friends going to your countries trying to get rich. I congratulate you. They’re spending a lot of money. But it does: it has a tremendous business potential—and representing huge amounts of, uh, different markets, and for American firms, it’s really become a place that they have to go, that they want to go.”* The tone is unmistakably paternalistic and classically Trumpian in its narcissism, but beneath that is a positive message: we want to trade with you. That is exactly what African governments want to hear. Earlier in the speech, he said, “In this room, I see partners for promoting prosperity and peace on a range of economic, humanitarian, and security issues. We hope to extend our economic partnerships with countries who are committed to self-reliance and to fostering opportunities for job creation in both Africa and the United States.” Boring and unspecific? Sure, but also respectful, and ritual affirmations of respect and vague commitments to cooperation are the essence of diplomacy.

Prior to the “Nambia” speech, Trump’s views on Africa hadn’t made any headlines during his presidency, except for headlines pointing out that he hadn’t expressed any. The fear among American foreign policy wonks has been that by completely ignoring Africa, Trump is letting the continent fall into China’s sphere of influence or at least—to put it in language less reminiscent of the Cold War—letting China alone take advantage of all the opportunities Africa offers.

In the last decade, China-Africa trade has grown much more rapidly the US-Africa trade, and China surpassed the US as the continent’s largest trading partner in 2009. Africans have long complained that America views Africa as a basket case and a recipient of aid rather than as a potential economic partner. Though the average Zhou also has something of that in his/her view of Africa, the Chinese state most assuredly does not. China’s emphatic official view is that Africa is an economic partner, and it shows in China’s actions. Besides titanic infrastructure investments, China is also building institutions with Africa, the most important being the Forum on China-Africa Cooperation, formed in 2000.

On the whole, Africans seem to appreciate this respect. In the 2016 Afrobarometer survey of thirty-six African countries, 63% of Africans reported feeling that China was a positive influence in their countries. To be fair, 30% still reported that America “would be the best model for the future development of our country” versus 24% for the China model. But consider this: the concept of a “China model” didn’t really make its appearance on the world stage until the late 1990s. Since then, it has gained widespread currency and received much debate; the Washington Consensus, the American development model, has meanwhile come in for a great deal of criticism—particularly after 2008. To put it more candidly: since 2000, China has lifted hundreds of millions of people out of poverty. What has America done other than destroy Iraq and tank the global economy?

If mere opinion polling doesn’t interest you, consider that more African university students now choose to study abroad in China than in England or the United States. What relationships are they forging? What values are they imbibing? With whom will this next generation of Africa’s leaders feel comfortable doing business? This is an extraordinarily important development. America’s closeness with global elites in the last few decades has depended enormously on the magnetism of American universities.

Considering that America’s educational and economic appeal has been weakening, why does our image there remain mostly favorable? No doubt we can thank Beyoncé for that. But democracy makes a difference, too. Democracy remains the most widely respected political concept globally (the list of political entities who deny believing in democracy is motley and short—even North Korea is actually the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea). But it remains to be seen how long other countries will believe that America embodies democracy or other admirable values. 

Even if America does maintain the mantle of democracy’s champion, democracy itself is not without competition. At the very same time that regressive kleptocracy in a populist mask has been gaining ground in developed countries, the China model or the Beijing Consensus has been generating more and more buzz among economists and policy makers in developing countries. In a nutshell, this refers to a form of authoritarian capitalism, or the prioritization of economic development over human rights. In the next decade, however, if China’s economic growth slows down and the country fails to escape the middle-income trap (as expected), then the China model will doubtless lose some luster, and other developing countries, including those of Africa, will hesitate to follow China's path. But then again, if America falls into complete Trumpism, the authoritarian capitalism of the China model won’t really be an alternative, will it? In essence, we’ll share the same system.



*Addendum: 

A lot of progressive pabulum was tweeted about how money, rich people, Donald Trump’s friends, corporations, and colonialism are bad. Yet money, rich people, Donald Trump’s friends, corporations, and colonialism are all different things and therefore should not be conflated. Do Donald Trump’s purported friends have money? I’m sure. Do many of them run corporations? Seems likely. Do they want to make more money in Africa? It would seem so. Does that mean they want to pillage? No, not necessarily. Does any involvement of Euro-Americans in Africa constitute neo-colonialism? No.

Colonialism is a system wherein a state (the colonizer) seizes control of another state or region (the colony) by means of military force and occupation, and then extracts the raw materials of the colony, ships them back to the colonizer, uses them to manufacture finished goods, and then exports those goods to the colony.

Neo-colonialism is an ill-defined term, but it should refer to a system wherein the economic aspects of colonialism still obtain—that is, an economic relationship wherein a developed country (the neo-colonizer) traps a developing country (the neo-colonized) in a cycle of dependency wherein the developing country remains reliant on the export of raw materials to the developed country and bound in some way to rely on imports of high-value-added products from the developed country.

But this is by no means the essence of trade. It is but one system of trade. Is this what Donald Trump’s alleged friends intend to do? We don’t know. What we do know is that trade is indispensable for developing countries, so let us leave behind the patronizing assumption that Africans will inevitably be victimized.